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The Paris Bourse is expected to remain in the green Monday holiday of the Assumption. In any case, as indicated by the futures contract on the CAC 40 rose by 1.04% to half an hour of opening. Investors present therefore decided to continue the rally began Thursday and extended last Friday. This growth mirrors that of Wall Street Friday and Asian markets this morning. In Japan, the Nikkei closed on Monday and a net increase of 1.37%, Hong Kong climbed almost 3% to 1.21% and Shanghai.

"Many operators will undoubtedly look forward to a quieter earlier in the week after the extreme volatility of recent days," said Cameron Peacock, an analyst at IG Markets.

Until Tuesday's meeting

The markets also seem to look forward to the outcome of Tuesday's meeting between French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.They must discuss reform of the governance of the euro area, sensitive issue for the markets. The Franco-German promises to make such joint proposals by the end of the summer Payday advance. Investors are calling for the creation of "Eurobonds", which would sign the pooling of public debt in the euro area. But Germany seems to be opposed. The discussions will be closely monitored on both sides of the Atlantic.

In addition, the European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn today called on European countries to adopt "very quickly" the decisions of July 21, and provided that the applicants were working "day and night" to this.

The U.S. housing market under the microscope

The next publication, this Monday will be very light. On the agenda are the indices of activity of the New York Fed and the real estate market across the Atlantic.

On the corporate side, Societe Generale will be followed. The Financial Markets Authority (AMF) initiated an investigation of market rumors that circulated this week on Societe Generale, announced Friday its president Jean-Pierre Jouyet

Zero growth in France. The economy has not taken off in the second quarter, remaining at 0%, after a rebound of 0.9% over the first three months of the year, according to INSEE. Consumption, traditional engine of the French economy, fell 0.7% after 0.4% in the first quarter.

Business investment continued to support the activity, but less than at the beginning of the year: they slow down to 0 no fax pay day loan.9% after 1.2% previously. In total, business demand and household crippling growth, observed INSEE.

Foreign trade, for once helped save the furniture. But only because imports fell (-0.9%) than exports, remained stable (0%). "Therefore, the trade balance contributed positively to GDP growth (0.3 -0.5 point after point)," notes INSEE.

The transport budget should lighten motorists this week. While the oil price was down since the beginning of August because of fears for global growth, the Minister Eric Besson industry asked Wednesday to distribution professionals to pass on this trend prices at the pump before the weekend of August 15, traditionally busy on the road. "The French will benefit from several cents lower per liter," ruled the Minister in a statement.

Concerns about debt deemed excessive in the euro area and especially the deterioration of the U.S. debt rating by the rating agency Standard & Poor's have indeed been falling sharply since oil prices last week. Wednesday, a barrel of Brent North Sea still traded at around $ 105 a barrel."Oil has fallen by about $ 10 a barrel for about eight days, conceded earlier this week Jean-Louis Schilansky, president of the French Union of Petroleum Industries (Ufip). Under these conditions, unless crude goes up, there are four to five cents a liter, which is expected to decline "

The magnitude and the time needed to complete the impact of this decline, however, are subject to different interpretations. While Ufip evokes a fall in prices "gradually over the next ten to twelve days," the general delegate of the Union of independent petroleum importers, which includes stations such as Carrefour, Auchan and Casino, for its expected "down from 10 to 15 cents" for these stations retail, "before the end of the week."

The price of a liter of diesel, the fuel most consumed medium currency is 1.335 euros per liter last week, according to the Ministry of Sustainable Development, 1.337 against the euro last week of July.

In Britain, in case of riots, police paying the damages. This is recalled Stuart White, of law firm Reynolds Porter Chamberlain: a law, which has 125 years, in fact, makes the police responsible for damage caused to property during riots, as "fail" in its duty of maintaining order and respect for the law.

In other words, the State will get their hands in their pockets to pay a portion of the bill due to clashes that affect London and other major British cities since Saturday evening. According to the Association of British Insurers (ABI), the invoice amount to several "tens of millions of pounds."Right in the austerity, the new grave evil historic budget cuts designed to reduce the deficit of Britain were launched last June.

However, some police forces insure themselves against damage due to riots. Is considered a "riot" any gathering of more than 12 people gathered "loudly" and whose behavior would any reasonable person to fear injury to his security.

And insurers do they expect to have to deal with a lot of complaints, while shops were burned, vandalized and looted. "It is too early to have a clear idea of ​​the total cost, especially the cost of closing the shops, but insurers are working hard to deal with complaints that reach," said Nick Starling, head of insurance and the health of the ABI, in a statement.Many insurers offer "hotlines" 24/24 and the British are expected to contact their insurance as soon as possible, explaining that for the shop owners, insurance policies often include coverage for losses related to the closure their business or property damage.

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All weekend, they multiplied the meetings and news: the political leaders of industrialized countries have mobilized to show that they had taken stock of efforts to engage to address concerns about the state of their finances. What to try to reassure markets, worried after the announcement Friday after the close of a deterioration in the rating of sovereign debt of the United States by Standard & Poor's, but also disturbed by the difficulties faced by countries the euro area to implement the solutions to the crisis in Greece. With always in sight the risk of contagion of debt to other countries.

In the wake of the Asian stock markets, down sharply this morning, the benchmark index in Paris has started his week on a further decline (-0.74%), but avoid the stock market crash feared its markets.After a brief stint in the green, but he digs his losses at midday, yielding 1.53% at midday, to 3228.29 points. Certainly, markets have heard statements of intent to both sides of the Atlantic, the austerity measures to consolidate public finances in industrialized countries. Nevertheless, the nervousness and volatility are the watchwords of the meeting. Evidenced by the yo-yo in the Paris index since the beginning and the very high trading volumes of 3.3 billion euros, three hours after opening.

Yesterday, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy reiterated their determination to ensure that the bailout of Greece on 21 July be adopted before the end of September. They also praised the efforts of Spain and especially those of Italy, two weak links in the euro area at present.Indeed, Rome has advanced by one year (from 2014 to 2013) the goal of return to balance its accounts. In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) said it would implement "active" its buyback program obligations. This measure, taken and announced last week by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the institution, had absolutely convinced investors. On the contrary …

Relaxation rates in Spain and Italy

This does not seem to be the case this morning. The ECB did not specify to which countries would focus the bond buyback program, but rates in ten years Spanish and Italian relaxed strongly on Monday in the bond market, passing under 6%.Relaxation is expected to continue, while the French Minister of Economy and Finance has confirmed Baroin on Europe 1 that the ECB was ready to buy the Spanish and European debt, if investors withdrew.

Elsewhere in Europe, the trend is more positive than the stock market crash feared by investors. In Frankfurt, the Dax, however, declined 2.24% to 6096.62 points. Less for London where the FTSE 100 lost 1.50% to 5168.33 points. In Madrid, the Ibex 35 index 0.38% wins at noon, at 8704 points. Finally, Milan were down 0.55% to 15,928, 49 points.

Next on the list?

However, uncertainty should remain in force on the European markets at the beginning of the week. The decision of Standard & Poor's in the United States continues to claim haunt the minds of the markets, despite a weekend to "digest" the news.Now that the world's largest economy, long considered one of the most reliable borrowers, is not as well marked, which could consider itself safe from degradation? In France, this concern should be limited, however, the chief economist for Europe, Standard & Poor's Jean-Michel Six, who said Saturday that the agency maintained the "AAA" of France, in a stable outlook payday loan.

Before testing the first effects on the markets of this political mobilization, the announcement of the ECB on repurchase of bonds has already led to support the euro against the dollar. At 7 o'clock this morning, the euro was worth 1.4321 dollars, against 1.4281 dollars on Friday night, after the dollar rose to 1.4370 on Sunday night.But above all concerns macroeconomic benefit to gold, which recorded a new record Monday on the market in Hong Kong, dying for the first time the maximum 1700 dollars an ounce, and benefiting fully from his safe haven status.

The sharp drop in oil

Instead, the side of the oil, oil prices continued to tumble on Monday. Result of numerous concerns about a possible global recession, prices show a sharp decline. In morning trading in Asia, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 2.59 dollars to 84.29 dollars, while that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery fell by 2.48 dollars to 106.89 dollars.

Finally, the political mobilization should remain in force throughout the day, and guide the trend in European markets as U.S.. For the side of the macroeconomic data, the news will remain low in the first day of the week.Unlike last week, no statistics across the Atlantic will not give further details Monday about the health of the U.S. economy or the risk of a possible recession in the country. In France alone were expected business surveys of the Banque de France, unveiled on Monday its growth forecast for the third quarter. For the period, the institution expects an increase of 0.2% of French GDP, the same pace as in the previous quarter.

As for values ​​to follow, business publications are scarce this week.

Battered last week after interim results affected by exposure in Greece, banking stocks offered a nice rally this morning and take the lead increases the Cac 40.BNP Paribas (5.47% to 42.83 euros), followed closely by Credit Agricole (+ 5.01% to 7.51 euros) and Societe Generale (4.83% to 28.76 euros). For its part, Axa wins 3.81%, to 11.99 euros. The entire financial sector benefits from the relief this morning, the insurer CNP Assurances taking his side 3.91%, to 12.37 euros. Outside the CAC 40, ahead of Dexia 5.26% to 1.7 euro.

The manufacturer Archos tablet that will detail its annual accounts after market, has already won 4.77% to 8.35 euros.

Carmat (12.80% to 105.47 euros). The total artificial heart specialist said on Sunday evening the success of its capital increase launched from July 13 to 29. The former subsidiary of EADS has raised 29.3 million euros, which will fund the first clinical trials on humans.

GDF Suez (2.74% to 20.97 euros).The group of energy and services has sealed, according to Les Echos, a strategic Partenaris with the Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC, which would lead to an acquisition of a 30% interest in the exploration and production arm of French.

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While European stock markets, starting with Paris, still closed on Friday decreases, Baroin called to remain calm. The Minister of Economy, which had cut short his vacation to "take stock with his teams," according to the Elysée, stressed the need to "keep a cool head and not make a tracing paper of the excitement that can be observed on a given market. "

Invited to France Info, just after the close of the Paris Bourse, which for the first time ever signed a tenth meeting of consecutive decline, including the minister explained that "the questions posed from a double question mark: the character of the strong global economic growth and the important issue in Europe and worldwide of this problem of public debt. "

On this last point, Baroin said that "the determination of the 17 heads of state of the euro area should not doubt the investors." And remember, in reference to the plan of aid to Greece reached July 21, that "in Europe, there was an agreement by the Heads of State very important because it offered answers. These responses must be heard by the markets. "

Latency

The Minister of Economy, however, admitted that there was "a latency reduction" between the announcement of the plan, which is "a good plan," and its practical implementation. It must indeed be ratified by national parliaments. In this regard, Baroin was keen to dispel doubts about the possibility of rejection by the German parliamentarians. "The plan will be voted on July 21. There is no other way to protect our currency which is the common good of the countries in the region, "said he.But "time is not the Democratic one click of a market operator," he said.

In order to "restore investor confidence," Baroin also ensures that "we must strengthen the governance of the euro area to make it optimal."

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"Papyrus" is the codename of the daily horse that will launch in late September Geny News, a subsidiary of PMU. Goal: be ready for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe in early October. And address the monopoly Turf Group, publisher of the leader, Paris Turf (56,500 copies a day), and all other paid dailies of punters: Paris Racing, Tierce Magazine, Weekend and Bilto. With a selling price aggressive, around one euro, 1.60 euro against Paris Turf.

The PMU is alone at the helm of this project since Serendipity, a fund owned by Bouygues and Artemis (Pinault), which sold its 50% interest in Infos Geny, and wishing to withdraw from paris sportifs low fee cash advance. Geny Info already provides information via its website geny.com horse.TV operator with its chain Equidia, PMU, an economic interest group that finances France Galop (racing gallop) and the French horse (racetracks and trotting), will therefore become indirectly newspaper publisher.

Wall Street starts again in the red on Tuesday. In early trade, the Dow Jones lost 0.57% at 12,063 points, the Nasdaq 0.51% to loose 2731 points and the S & P drops 0.69% to 1279 points.

The opening is dominated by pessimism as consumer spending of U.S. households fell against all odds by 0.2% in June, posting their first decline since September 2009. Economists surveyed on average expected a rise in expenditure of 0.2%.

The expected green light from Senate Tuesday evening

Concerning the agreement on raising the debt ceiling, the doubts persist. "Some have pointed to the fact that the rating agency S & P claimed four trillion dollars in deficit reduction over 10 years against only 2.5 trillion currently being negotiated by members, analysts said Aurel BGC.Maintaining the "AAA" is far from being elected … Many skeptics have left open the possibility of adoption of this agreement by the Congress. "An expected adoption tonight. The Senate must decide, in fact, after the House of Representatives that preceded it from that Monday night.

"I think the show we attended in Washington, a significant number of parliamentarians of this country leaving the threat of a default, really made a lot of damage to the confidence" of investors in the economy American, for his part, said U.S. Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithnern, on ABC.

Oil side, the opening of the Nymex, oil prices melt, due to poor statistqies the day, who fear a future decline in demand.To 15 hours, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 94.36 dollars, down 53 cents.

Results of companies to follow the corporate side, several major publications are planned this week, starting on Tuesday by Pfizer (-1.05% to 18.81 dollars). The group released better than expected earnings for the second quarter, the jump in sales of animal health products offsetting lower sales of drugs, the heart of the business group.

Google (stable at 606.71 dollars) this weekend began testing a new service, "Google Hotel Finder", dedicated to finding hotels. Positioned competitor specialized sites like Hotels.com "Hotel Finder Google" is used to search the dates of their choice, depending on the number of stars of the institution and the average scores given by customers.

Hewlett-Packard (-0.48% to 35.03 dollars) has decided to drop now $ 50 U.S. price of its new tablet, the TouchPad. This rate adjustment, presented as a promotion valid until September 10, is valid until September 10.He places the version of the tablet features a 16GB storage to 449.99 dollars, and the 32 GB to 549 dollars, just one month after the beginning of the commercialization of TouchPad.

Coach (-4.72% to 62.31 dollars), a leading U.S. brands of accessories, recorded a jump of 24% of its annual net profit in 2010-2011 (year ended July 2) at 881 million dollars, and expected to grow over 10% in the future, according to a statement released Tuesday.

Hyatt Hotels (1.96% to 39.52 euros) announced earnings for the second quarter better than expected, while saying he intended to open a number of "significant" new hotels in the future.

GM (-0.79% to 27.87 dollars) for his contact in the afternoon the numbers of sales in July.

Raids by giants of video games on small publishers are ongoing.After the announcement of a Memorandum of surrender by PopCap Games Electronic Arts (0.32% to 22.02 dollars) and the acquisition by Zynga a mobile games publisher in Canada, is the Japanese Sony which went on the offensive by offering Sucker Punch. The American development studio publishes games for consoles, the PlayStation family, including "Sly Cooper" (PS) and "inFamous' (PS3). The amount of the transaction were not disclosed.

Amerigroup (7.47% to 51.65 dollars) is expected to jump at the opening, the title win over 5% in electronic trading before the opening of Wall Street. The group of health care services announced yesterday it has won a contract to develop its business in Texas.

Wall Street hesitates. As in Europe, investors do not seem entirely convinced by the agreement reached in the night between Democrats and Republicans on the debt. Hours to 4:15 p.m., the Dow drops 0.57% to 12,072 points, the Nasdaq lost 0.43% to 2744 points and the S & P loose 0.57% to 1285 points.

It is in extremis, on the night of Sunday, which is reached an agreement on raising the ceiling of U.S. debt, after a speech critical of President Barack Obama. Two days before the deadline set by the U.S. Treasury, the stakes were high: without this increase, at least 2.1 trillion dollars, the United States, on the edge of default, could sow the wind panic on financial markets.

Barack Obama has managed to generate compelling reconciliation of Democrats and Republicans on this agreement, investors now hope to see a bill passed in the coming days. But that will depend on the Congress which has yet to give the green light, no later than Tuesday night. Similarly, no one knows how to react, however, the rating agencies. Despite the compromise finally reached on the debt, the loss by the U.S., their AAA rating is not excluded and would have severe repercussions on the economy and markets.

After selling more than 4% last week, which will remain the worst of the year, the Dow had yet started the day up 1.10% at 12,277 points.Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 progressed to their respective share of 0.86% to 1303 points and 2785 points to 1.05%.

The manufacturing sector to the death

At the macroeconomic agenda, a bad surprise helped to fill the atmosphere: the growth in manufacturing in the United States slowed in July against all expectations, according to the purchasing managers' index released Monday by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), which fell to its lowest level in two years. The index of manufacturing activity of this organization stood at 50.9 last month, its lowest level since July 2009, against 55.3 in June. The market economists polled by Reuters on average expected 54.9.

Construction spending in the U.S. have also increased by 0.2% in June, according to figures from the U.S. Department of Commerce published Monday.These expenditures reached 772.3 billion dollars, while analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a rate unchanged no credit check payday loans.

This week, analysts said Aurel BGC, "investors will focus on indicators confirming whether a rebound in growth. In view of the latest indicators movement is far from certain. Auto sales (Tuesday) and retail sales side on Wall Street for the month of July will be eagerly awaited. This weekend, the employment figures will be released by the BLS.They will be very affected by the lay-off of 20,000 staff in the State of Minnesota. "

73% of companies did better than expected

The European steelmaker ArcelorMittal and U.S. mining company Peabody Energy (0.73% to 57.89 dollars) on Monday made a hostile bid on the Australian Macarthur about 4.7 billion Australian (about 3, 6 billion euros), after the failure of talks to reach an amicable agreement. The board of Australian mining group declined Monday to support the joint bid from ArcelorMittal and Peabody to 15.50 dollars per share.

The title of the American manufacturer Ford (2.54% to 12.52 dollars) could take 25% as the group reduced its debt, is launching new models and trying to expand in China and India where he remained late over its competitors, said Monday the magazine Barron's.

Shares of online retail Amazon.com (1.75% to 226.41 dollars), which is just below its record high, could earn 10% to 25% if the investment result rapid growth in its retail operations, cloud-computing and the Kindle reading light, said Monday the magazine Barron's.

The railway company of the UAE, Etihad Rail, said Monday it has ordered seven locomotives Electro-Motive Diesel, a subsidiary of U.S. manufacturer of construction equipment Caterpillar (2.36% to 101.13 dollars).

On the corporate side, after Merck (+0.03% to 34.10 dollars) and Chevron (1.57% to 105.67 dollars), which published its quarterly results Friday, the ball of publications in the U.S. coming to an end.Nearly 65% ​​of companies have indeed published their findings in the U.S. and 73% reported earnings above expectations.

Among the publications planned the first week of August, include those closely watched CBS, Cephalon, and Pfizer (Tuesday). Will be followed by Comcast, Time Warner and Mastercard (Wednesday). Then, Kraft Foods (Thursday), Procter & Gamble and Viacom (Friday).